The rushing attack is dominant, the quarterback is certainly good enough to capitalize when the opposing defense over-commits to slowing down the run and the defense gets sacks in bunches. Sam Howell keeps the North Carolina offense rolling in a home victory. The Wolverines haven't been tested yet, and Maryland does average 40.3 points per game. See which other teams the model likes here. Another big spread here, and a potential hangover game for the Hurricanes. It's the Spartans secondary that leaves an awful lot to be desired, and Minnesota has not been anything close to prolific through the air dating back to the start of 2020. Visit SportsLine now to see Barrett Sallee's college football best bets, all from one of the top analysts in the nation who has crushed his picks for SportsLine. Here is a look at our track record against the spread this season. Pick: Texas wins 42-31 and COVERS the spread. Check out the latest college football odds below, then visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $3,300 in profit over the past six-plus seasons, and find out. 6-keys: media/spln/collegefootball/reg/free/stories, By pressing sign up, I confirm that I have read and agree to the. Many other factors are taken into account for the final prediction such as power rankings, returning starters, home field, coaching, strength of schedule, and against the spread average. That puts us at 25-27-1 against the spread, 30-19-4 on point totals and 55-46-5 overall with our bets on top 25 teams for the 2021 season. Will the Bulldogs stay focused after last week's impressive SEC opener against South Carolina? But the Sooners look different and better on defense with former long-time Clemson defensive coordinator Brent Venables now running the program. Smith leading that charge. 11 Tennessee Volunteers (3-0) vs. No. Our predictions for each Week 4 game are broken into three sections: Top 25 teams, best unranked clashes and the rest of the slate. Anyone who has followed it has seen huge returns. No. These are also just the Week 4 college football betting odds for the top 25. The play clock was ticking down and Riley leaned over to the official and signaled for a timeout with a second left on the play clock. LINES Nevada -1 ATS PICK Nevada. College football picks, predictions against the spread for every Week 4 top 25 game, Alabama's close call, FSU's disastrous start and more takeaways from Week 3. Notre Dame got off to a slow start, but it has picked up wins against UNLV and Syracuse in its last two games. Can Duke do anything to slow this team down in a showdown between undefeated schools that are usually only relevant in men's college basketball? When you want to bet on an elite team but don't want to risk $600 or more to win $100, our expert NBA picks against the spread are the way to go. Pick: Notre Dame wins 24-23 in an UPSET. The latest Week 4 college football odds from Caesars Sportsbook list the Volunteers as 10.5-point favorites at home. Prediction: Michigan State 31, Minnesota 28, Indiana Hoosiers (3-0) at Cincinnati Bearcats (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. 2004-2023 CBS Interactive. Every AP Top 10 team won by double digitsthough No. Prediction: North Carolina 34, Notre Dame 27, Minnesota Golden Gophers (3-0) at Michigan State Spartans (2-1) [3:30 p.m.]. Over the past six-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated a stunning profit of more than $3,300 for $100 players on its top-rated college football picks against the spread. Notice the Offensive Run and Pass points to get an idea of potential [], College Football Bowl Season will feature Alabama Vs Cincinnati, Georgia Vs Michigan, Baylor Vs Ole Miss, and Utah Vs Ohio State. Coincidentally, 80 percent of the selections this week are underdogs. Utah, however, has looked like a different team since the Week 1 loss to Florida. The Utes take care of business behind a running game that averages 216.7 yards per game, and they close it out with a fourth-quarter turnover. smothered Alabama and held UTSA to three second-half points will take control. Kirk Ferentz might open it up a little more with Spencer Petras in this game, too. Take the value with this spread being under a touchdown. Two B1G teams coming off disappointing losses in which they struggled to move the ball. The Top 25 games are listed in ascending order of ranking. see the latest college football predictions from SportsLine's advanced computer model, See which other teams the model likes here, You can only get every pick for every game at SportsLine, visit SportsLine to see which teams win and cover the spread, all from a proven computer model that has returned more than $3,300 in profit over the past six-plus seasons, Alabama hires former Texas, UL coach Strong as analyst, Georgia star Jalen Carter subject of arrest warrant, 23 things to watch during 2023 spring football, Lincoln Riley opens up on Year 2 expectations, Big Ten, CFP committee adds Hall of Fame coach for 2023, Bob Diaco reunites with Brian Kelly at LSU. This game has "Nobody believes in us" written all over it for Washington State. Iowa State had its get-right game last week. The battle will be won in the trenches. 13 Utah Utes (2-1) at Arizona State Sun Devils (1-2) [10:30 p.m.]. Oregon got absolutely boat-raced by Georgia in Week 1, but, oh well, no one cares and the Ducks are back up to No. Both teams are ranked in the AP Top 20, and while Tennessee is both ranked higher and the home team, Florida has completely owned this SEC East rivalry as of late, winning five straight and 16 of the last 17 meetings dating back to 2005. SportsLine's model is projecting a big day for Williams, who is throwing for more than 320 yards and three touchdowns in the latest simulations. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-2) at North Carolina Tar Heels (3-0) [3:30 p.m.]. Considering opposing quarterbacks have rushed a combined 18 times for negative-22 yards against this Volunteers defense, I like their chances of keeping Richardson bottled up. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices 8 Auburn (2019), 48-0 loss to No. Especially since I'm picking four underdogs to win straight up. But if Richardson plays anything like that against Tennessee, the Vols may well win by four touchdowns and rapidly become the trendy pick to crash the CFP party. 13 Texas A&M vs. No. The Demon Deacons went from a halftime lead to a five-score deficit . The lefty does his thing again and the Huskies win a relatively high-scoring affair. Explore this storyboard about Football (U.S.) by Athlon Sports on Flipboard. Marshall -2 at Troy, over/under: 52. This should be a fun game between undefeated Big 12 teams that have survived early-season tests. (Certainly better than EMU's.). Point total: 78.5. The Ducks have won the last two meetings by 14 points and found their groove with Bo Nix in the victory against BYU in Week 3. This time they are a 23 point favorite. After dismantling Arkansas-Pine Bluff by a final score of 63-7, Oklahoma State gets the week off to prepare for a massive Week 5 showdown with No. The Gators have dominated the series, but the Volunteers are heavy favorites this time. New players only, 21+. But the defense also allows way too many passing yards. as pre-draft murmurs have begun coming out of the college football season.With Kentucky's Will . North Carolina and Wake Forest should've been a wild and crazy firefight. 5 USC (-2.5) vs. No. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Pick: Kansas State wins 35-28 and COVERS the spread. MORE: Overlooked in high school, QB Cam Ward has his eye on the NFL. Clemson has been stop-and-start on offense, but the defense has allowed just 14.0 points per game through three games. Can Texas A&M take advantage of that secondary, though? 250/167 = 59.95% = $75,500 profit / average American makes $53,000 250 times $950 the average win =$237,500- minus $167,000 in losses is $75,000 in profit Compounding monetary eff Kentucky Sports Radio's football pick 'em podcast with Matt Jones and Drew Franklin. Athlon Sports picks the 20 matchups involving Top 25 teams* against the spread for Week 4: No. See full Week 4 college football picks, odds, predictions here, Central Michigan at Penn State (-28, 63.5), Northern Illinois at Kentucky (-26.5, 53). Texas A&M is a 2-point favorite in the latest Week 4 college football odds at Caesars Sportsbook, while the over/under is 51. 7 Oklahoma (Week 2), 41-10 loss to No. If he's good to go, Notre Dame is going to have a rough time trying to keep this offense bottled up. Should be similar to 2019, when Wisconsin held opponents not named Ohio State to 13.75 points per game but gave up 38 in the regular season and 34 in the B1G championship against the Buckeyes. section: | slug: college-football-odds-picks-predictions-best-bets-for-week-4-2022-computer-simulation-backs-usc-texas | sport: collegefootball | route: article_single.us | The Huskies are riding the momentum off last week's huge victory against Michigan State, and now they open Pac-12 play against Stanford. And early returns suggest this should be quite the duel between defenses that are way better than we've come to expect from the Big 12. 23 Texas A&M. No. But if the Aggies relentlessly feed those two playmakers, they reasonably could do to this porous secondary what Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle did to the NFL's Baltimore Ravens on Sunday, finishing with 22 receptions, 361 yards and four touchdowns. Premium Picks were off the charts for the 2020 and 2021 regular seasons (ranking in the top 2% for the handicapper industry at a fraction of the cost)! They crushed two mid-majors and beat a shorthanded Pittsburgh squad without its quarterback, following a 7-6 season in which they went 1-4 against ranked opponents. AZ, CO, CT, IA, IL, IN, MI, NJ, PA, TN, VA, WV only. It's tempting to take the Chippewas, who have scored 36.3 points per game through three weeks. Clemson has gotten out to a couple of painfully slow starts this season. ET matchup in Lubbock. Pick: Ohio State wins 38-17 and COVERS the spread. The Trojans have forced 11 turnovers (while committing zero), but Stanford moved the ball pretty much at will against them, racking up 33 first downs. No. Lane Kiffin will lean on that at home against a Tulsa team that is better than advertised. Here's where this tilts. Similar story this past weekend against Louisiana Tech, as Clemson led just 13-6 at the half before eventually cruising to a 48-20 victory. Pick: Oklahoma State wins 27-20 and COVERS the spread. Because with a ginormous game at Clemson coming up next weekend, the Wolfpack are going to want to pull Devin Leary and Co. as soon as possible. But Michigan is leading the nation in scoring while barely even needing J.J. McCarthy to do anything at quarterback. USC's offensive firepower is one of the main reasons that the Trojans are covering more than 70% of the time. "The Volunteer defense is much better than advertised, and is averaging 7.33 tackles for loss per game," Sallee told SportsLine. College Football HQ makes picks against the spread for the top games in Week 11, including big matchups in the SEC and in the Big 12. 1 Georgia Bulldogs (3-0) vs. Kent State Golden Flashes (1-2) [Noon]. NC State can't afford to look ahead to the showdown against Clemson next week, even if quarterback Devin Leary should have the offense in cruise control by the second half against UConn. Head coach Chris Klieman will have his team better prepared for the Big 12s best, having won two of three meetings against the Sooners, with the loss last year by six points. The total was 77.5. They do not store directly personal information . See Premium Picks for the lock. That might be the most intriguing "neither team is ranked" game that we've seen in many moons. 18 Wisconsin, 12 p.m . The Huskies are coming off a 59-0 loss at Michigan, but this spread still feels a little too high. 10 Arkansas Razorbacks (3-0) at No. In this coin flip of a game, the team that controls the tempo figures to get the W. To that end, the status of UNC WR Josh Downs is monumental. 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